The MLB baseball playoffs are in full swing. As exciting as the playoffs are, the World Series takes the proverbial sporting cake. It’s a best of 7 series and it offers betters many opportunities to play ball! If you have shied away from betting baseball because it’s too confusing read on. Let me show you how to bet baseball!
Folks that have been long time sports gamblers swear out loud that baseball is the easiest sport in which to win consistently. Amazingly baseball betting lags far behind football, basketball and college football in total action here in the USA but is still ahead of hockey. (Just for your info more people bet soccer world wide than any other game). Smart betters though love to bet on baseball and now that the playoffs are under way it is time that you learned how and began to cash in. You fancy yourself as knowledgeable about baseball maybe even understanding advanced statistical metrics so put it to the test and learn how to bet and make some real not fantasy money.
Baseball has no point spread but instead utilizes a money line. Important advice, savvy betters hardly ever give odds higher than -140 and usually look to bet the underdog. Simply by betting the underdog you will lose most of your bets however you will still come out ahead in the long run!
Here is what you need to know about the run line.
The run line is basically a combo of the point spread and the money line. It’s pretty easy. The run line always uses a constant spread of 1.5 runs, occasionally you may see it run up to 2.5.The club that is favored with the money line is always the favored team with the run line. Here is an example.
New York Yankees + 165
Boston Red Sox – 180
What this says is that Red Sox betters are willing to risk $180 bucks to win $100, while Yankee betters risk $100 to win $165. Pretty simple. Now when betting the run line, this is what you could figure the game line to look like.
New York Yankees -1.5 -125
Boston Red Sox – 1.5 +105
The folks that are betting on the Yankees are putting up for risk more money than they can win back. In this instance $125 to win $100., but they are getting 1.5 runs so even if the Yankees lose by a run you will win your bet because of the 1.5 run line. In the next example the Rangers play the A’s.
Texas Rangers – 115
Oakland A’s +105
Folks betting the Rangers on the money line will risk $115 to win $100 and conversely betting the A’s would be a gamble of $100 to win $105. With the run line it would look like this
Texas Rangers -1.5 +135
Oakland A’s +1.5 -155
Note that the reason the odds did not change as much for the Rangers -115 to +135 as they did for the Red Sox -180 to +105 is because the Sox being home team don’t bat in the bottom of the ninth inning if leading by a run. And obviously the game stops if they go ahead by a run and win even with the bases full and no outs unless somebody clubs a homer. The Rangers as a road team continue to bat all the way through the top of the ninth no matter how much they are ahead and they can continue to pile up runs. So betting the run line will make sense when you like a huge favorite and can get them at reduced odds by giving 1.5 runs. It is smart to also consider the predicted amount of runs scored in a game when looking at the run line. Of course 1.5 runs is more meaningful in a game where the odds makers are predicting a total of 7 runs to be tallied than it is in a game where the predicted total is 14 runs. And how the predicted number of runs is figured is by simply looking at the oddsmakers over/ under number on the game.
Speaking of over / under more commonly known as totals we simply are talking about the total number of runs. Baseball is like other sports in that you are betting the total runs or points either greater than the odds maker or less than the oddsmaker . The difference in baseball vs football is that in some cases you will need to risk more than the standard -110 used in football and basketball totals. But on a better note there can be cases where you receive sweeter odds say +120 when you bet totals in baseball. Take a look at the Rangers A’s for totals and it would look like this.
Texas Rangers OV 8.5 -130
Oakland A’s UN 8.5 +110
Basically what it means is that betters wanting to bet that more than 8.5 runs will be scored will have to risk $130 to win $100 while fans betting the under will risk $100 to win $110. For betting purposes what happens in extra innings does indeed count for both totals and run line bets. Some say that strikeout pitchers pitch well at night making the under a good bet while less hard throwers are usually good bets in the day time. I don’t go by that; it’s too simple for me. I prefer to check out recent performance trends by pitchers and teams. Who’s hot, lineup matchups and gut feeling for me is the way to go. Baseball is a funny game and there are many intangibles that belie the numbers. To be a good baseball better you need to have a good feel and some knowledge of the game or you might as well go play blackjack. Good luck and Go #RedSox!